The Research Capsule report compared current sales and forecasts over the next three years, finding a one percent market share is about as good as it gets for EVs at present.
The report found only five countries will exceed 10,000 EV sales this year, and only one is expected to see a market share for EVs above ten percent in the next five years.
Neighbouring Finland shows how influential those government incentives can be, with a far less generous scheme matched by a slower uptake of EV ownership.
Drivers in The Netherlands also enjoy strong government incentives and generally small distances to travel (so less range anxiety), which has aided an almost threefold increase in EV and PHEV sales since 2013.
German authorities set a target of 100,000 electric vehicle sales this year, but fell well short with only a quarter of that target being realised. Germany is believed to be considering various incentives to promote EV sales, but is resisting any form of government assistance.
Thanks to smog levels that saw France restrict the number of cars on its city streets (almost) earlier this year - and consider a potential ban on diesel passenger cars by 2020 - the French government is understandably keen to promote low-emission vehicles.
Up to AU$8000 in incentives can be had for drivers in France who choose an EV or PHEV, which sees per capita sales for both three times that of Spain, and overall sales ten times that of Italy.
The US is brimming with celebrities keen to earn some ‘green’ points from fans with their car choices, and 50 percent of the country’s EV and PHEV sales are generated in California which rewards owners with numerous charging stations, free parking and more.
China and India also encourage the take-up of EVs and PHEVs through pollution taxes and government incentives.
Despite land size, population density in both countries allows for shorter commutes, which favours electric-powered cars.
In Australia, government incentives are limited to luxury car tax exemptions, and in the ACT, stamp duty exemption. Nissan claims the government ‘needs to do more’ to encourage uptake of electric cars.
Meanwhile, Tesla is working on the infrastructure element by building Superchargers along Australia’s east coast, capable of charging the battery in its Model S to 50 percent capacity in 20 minutes.
Tesla says ‘we’re not mucking about’, but larger distances and scarce population density mean Australia has big challenges in creating nation-wide charging infrastructure.
But with an increased range of EVs and PHEVs available from more than eight mainstream carmakers, sales increases are also forecast in Australia despite limited government incentives.
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